Democratic Risk Assessment
Real-time analysis for informed family decisions
Current Risk (Now)
Combined objective metrics + political temperature analysis
Cumulative Damage (History)
Long-term democratic erosion with decay weighting
Freedom House
EIU Democracy
Polity IV
V-Dem LDI
Democracy indices: Freedom House (2024), EIU Democracy Index (2024), Polity Project, V-Dem | ⚠️ Some data is over 1 year old | Real-time data: TippingPoint.Watch evidence analysis
📊 How We Calculate Risk
Current Risk Score: 3.6/5
Combines two data tracks:
- • Objective metrics (2.9) - Institutional changes, policy shifts
- • Political temperature (4.1) - Social tension, public sentiment
Cumulative Damage: 1.4/5
Long-term democratic erosion:
- • Weighted by time decay (60-day half-life)
- • Includes all 28+ tracked metrics
- • Shows sustained democratic backsliding
High Risk Level Detected
Current risk level of 3.6/5 indicates significant democratic backsliding indicators. Consider reviewing evidence and monitoring closely.
Category Risk Breakdown
Legal/Institutional
1/4 metrics active (25% coverage)
Civic/Cultural
1/2 metrics active (50% coverage)
Personal Rights
1/2 metrics active (50% coverage)
Operational
2/4 metrics active (50% coverage)
Risk Timeline
Evidence Volume
Average Risk Level
Evidence Timeline
Filter Evidence
2 days ago
46itemsU.N. Human Rights Office Asks Ghana to Halt Deportations of Migrants Sent From U.S.
At least five migrants recently deported to Ghana from the United States had court-ordered protections meant to keep them from the possibility of being tortured if returned to their home countries.
With Comey prosecution, Trump fulfills promise of revenge
President Donald Trump’s predecessors sought to preserve the Justice Department’s independence in political prosecutions. Trump openly intervened in the Comey prosecution.
Years of clashes with Trump preceded Comey’s indictment
The federal grand jury’s indictment of the former FBI director, which Trump pushed for, marks the latest chapter in the tumultuous relationship between the two men.
Supreme Court allows Trump officials to freeze billions in foreign aid
The Supreme Court allowed the Trump administration to freeze more than $4 billion in foreign aid.
Brief Comey Indictment Prompts Questions and Criticism
The two-page indictment of James B. Comey, the former F.B.I. director, offered little indication of the evidence that would be presented at a trial. Some legal experts called it flimsy and dangerous.
4 Takeaways From Trump’s Securing of an Indictment Against Comey
The president’s pressure on the Justice Department to charge one of his highest-profile retribution targets could have profound consequences.
3 days ago
4itemsWith Comey Indictment, Trump Gets Retribution but Shatters Norms
A prosecutor’s drive to indict James Comey trampled over the Justice Department’s long tradition of keeping a distance from politics and the White House, and raised the prospect of more arbitrary charges.
Federal judge declines to reinstate inspectors general fired by Trump
The judge said Trump had clearly violated the law in the way he fired the watchdogs, but reinstating them would not matter as he could later lawfully remove them.
Trump Orders Broad Effort to Root Out Groups He Says Organize Political Violence
President Trump has long maintained that liberal activists and organizations secretly fund political violence. Law enforcement officials say efforts like the antifascist movement are often disparate groups.
Harris distances herself from Biden as book tour begins amid pro-Palestinian protests
Divisions in the Democratic Party over Israel policy dogged former vice president Kamala Harris’s presidential campaign.
Data sources: 28 metrics • Last updated: 2025-09-30
This dashboard tracks democratic risk indicators using transparent, source-linked metrics.