TippingPoint.Watch - Democratic Risk Dashboard

Last updated: 9/25/2025, 7:29:27 PM (LIVE DATA)

Risk Assessment Summary

National Score

0.00 Green

Trend:

Personal Risk Score

0.00 Green

Current Action

Monitor situation - no immediate action required

Cumulative Damage

0.00 Green

Irreversible damage assessment

Alerts Status

⚠️ TRIGGERED: Marriage/parent recognition rollback, Marriage/parent recognition rollback, Marriage/parent recognition rollback, Marriage/parent recognition rollback, Marriage/parent recognition rollback, Marriage/parent recognition rollback, Marriage/parent recognition rollback, Marriage/parent recognition rollback, Marriage/parent recognition rollback

Risk Metrics & Recent Events

Emergency Powers & Overrides

0.0 Green
Weight: 1 Range: 1-10

Emergency/extraordinary powers curtailing due process or expanding executive control.

Recent Events Affecting This Metric

No recent events affecting this metric.

Court & Checks Undermining

0.0 Green
Weight: 1 Range: 1-10

Court-stripping, refusal to comply with rulings, or efforts to bypass judicial review.

Recent Events Affecting This Metric

No recent events affecting this metric.

Civil Service Purges

0.0 Green
Weight: 0.9 Range: 1-10

Loyalty tests/purges of career officials/election admins.

Recent Events Affecting This Metric

No recent events affecting this metric.

Speech/Press Restrictions

0.0 Green
Weight: 0.9 Range: 1-10

Viewpoint-targeted censorship or selective government takedown demands.

Recent Events Affecting This Metric

No recent events affecting this metric.

Political Violence Normalization

0.0 Green
Weight: 1 Range: 1-10

Incitement/defense of violence by public figures without consequences.

Recent Events Affecting This Metric

No recent events affecting this metric.

Minority Targeting in Law/Policy

0.0 Green
Weight: 1 Range: 1-10

Diminishing equal treatment for protected groups.

Recent Events Affecting This Metric

No recent events affecting this metric.

Marriage/Parent Recognition

0.0 Green
Weight: 1 Range: 1-10

Validity of same-sex marriage, parentage, adoption/surrogacy orders.

Recent Events Affecting This Metric

No recent events affecting this metric.

Healthcare Privacy Access

0.0 Green
Weight: 0.8 Range: 1-10

Government access to medical records beyond due process.

Recent Events Affecting This Metric

No recent events affecting this metric.

Policing/Military for Civil Control

0.0 Green
Weight: 0.9 Range: 1-10

Guard/military deployments for domestic policing; mass detentions.

Recent Events Affecting This Metric

No recent events affecting this metric.

Financial/Platform Exclusion

0.0 Green
Weight: 0.7 Range: 1-10

Targeted freezes/denials of banking or platform services.

Recent Events Affecting This Metric

No recent events affecting this metric.

Cumulative Democratic Damage

0.0 Green
Weight: 1 Range: 1-10

Irreversible institutional changes and cumulative erosion of democratic norms.

Recent Events Affecting This Metric

No recent events affecting this metric.

Institutional Erosion

0.0 Green
Weight: 1 Range: 1-10

Long-term damage to democratic institutions and checks/balances.

Recent Events Affecting This Metric

No recent events affecting this metric.

Constitutional Crisis Indicators

0.0 Green
Weight: 1 Range: 1-10

Signs of constitutional breakdown or emergency powers abuse.

Recent Events Affecting This Metric

No recent events affecting this metric.

Emergency Powers & Overrides

0.0 Green
Weight: 0.25 Range: 0-5

Emergency powers and constitutional overrides

Recent Events Affecting This Metric

No recent events affecting this metric.

Court & Checks Undermining

0.0 Green
Weight: 0.25 Range: 0-5

Undermining judicial independence and checks

Recent Events Affecting This Metric

No recent events affecting this metric.

Civil Service Purges

0.0 Green
Weight: 0.25 Range: 0-5

Purging civil service and replacing with loyalists

Recent Events Affecting This Metric

No recent events affecting this metric.

Speech/Press Restrictions

0.0 Green
Weight: 0.25 Range: 0-5

Restricting free speech and press freedom

Recent Events Affecting This Metric

No recent events affecting this metric.

Political Violence Normalization

0.0 Green
Weight: 0.5 Range: 0-5

Normalizing political violence and intimidation

Recent Events Affecting This Metric

No recent events affecting this metric.

Minority Targeting in Law/Policy

0.0 Green
Weight: 0.5 Range: 0-5

Targeting minorities through law and policy

Recent Events Affecting This Metric

No recent events affecting this metric.

Marriage/Parent Recognition

0.0 Green
Weight: 0.5 Range: 0-5

Marriage and parent recognition rights

Recent Events Affecting This Metric

No recent events affecting this metric.

Healthcare Privacy Access

0.0 Green
Weight: 0.5 Range: 0-5

Healthcare and privacy access rights

Recent Events Affecting This Metric

No recent events affecting this metric.

Policing/Military for Civil Control

0.0 Green
Weight: 0.5 Range: 0-5

Using police/military for civil control

Recent Events Affecting This Metric

No recent events affecting this metric.

Financial/Platform Exclusion

0.0 Green
Weight: 0.5 Range: 0-5

Financial and platform exclusion tactics

Recent Events Affecting This Metric

No recent events affecting this metric.

Recent Evidence (LIVE DATA)

Chronological log of recent evidence entries affecting risk assessment.

Federal judge declines to reinstate inspectors general fired by Trump

active

Similar to the earlier article about government watchdogs, this ruling indicates a troubling trend regarding accountability and oversight in government.

Date: 2025-09-25 Impact: +3 Confidence: 70% Source: Processed from batch 2, article 13

Trump, Vance fault Democrats after shooting at Dallas ICE facility

active

The framing of the shooting as a consequence of political rhetoric against law enforcement highlights the risks of political violence and societal division, which can threaten democratic stability.

Date: 2025-09-25 Impact: +4 Confidence: 80% Source: Processed from batch 2, article 16

Trump administration eyes USAID money to advance America First goals

active

The reallocation of foreign aid to align with political goals undermines Congressional authority and poses risks to democratic accountability and institutional integrity.

Date: 2025-09-25 Impact: +4 Confidence: 80% Source: Processed from batch 2, article 20

In Wisconsin swing district, criticism of Charlie Kirk sparks backlash

active

The backlash against public officials for their criticism indicates a potential threat to free speech and democratic discourse, which can undermine institutional norms.

Date: 2025-09-25 Impact: +3 Confidence: 70% Source: Processed from batch 3, article 1

Tracking who Trump is appointing to fill key administration roles

active

The tracking of appointments highlights concerns about executive power and the potential for cronyism, which can undermine democratic institutions.

Date: 2025-09-25 Impact: +3 Confidence: 70% Source: Processed from batch 2, article 11

Trump upbraids U.N. in speech, claiming ‘your countries are going to hell’

active

Trump's confrontational rhetoric towards international institutions can erode diplomatic norms and undermine the U.S.'s role in global governance, threatening institutional integrity.

Date: 2025-09-25 Impact: +4 Confidence: 70% Source: Processed from batch 3, article 5

Trump Administration Eyes More Mass Layoffs if Government Shuts Down

active

The potential for mass layoffs as a political strategy raises significant concerns about the use of government power and the impact on public services, reflecting a threat to democratic governance.

Date: 2025-09-25 Impact: +4 Confidence: 80% Source: Processed from batch 1, article 13

Hegseth orders rare, urgent meeting of hundreds of generals, admirals

active

The urgency and secrecy surrounding the meeting of military officials could indicate potential overreach or manipulation of military power, which poses risks to democratic norms.

Date: 2025-09-25 Impact: +3 Confidence: 70% Source: Processed from batch 2, article 9

Federal Judge Declines to Reinstate Government Watchdogs Fired by Trump

active

The ruling indicates a violation of the law by the President, which undermines the rule of law and accountability mechanisms. However, the judge's decision not to reinstate the watchdogs reflects a concerning trend of executive power overreach.

Date: 2025-09-25 Impact: +3 Confidence: 70% Source: Processed from batch 2, article 2

Dallas Shooting Comes Amid Growing Tensions Over Immigrant Detentions

active

The article highlights tensions surrounding immigration enforcement, which can lead to violence and societal unrest. The framing of immigration enforcement as a target for "demonization" suggests a potential for increased hostility towards immigrants and law enforcement.

Date: 2025-09-25 Impact: +4 Confidence: 80% Source: Processed from batch 2, article 1