TippingPoint.Watch - Democratic Risk Dashboard

Last updated: 9/22/2025, 9:31:58 PM

Risk Assessment Summary

National Score

2.57 Orange

Trend:

Personal Risk Score

2.76 Orange

Current Action

Monitor situation - no immediate action required

Tripwires Status

✅ No tripwires triggered

Risk Metrics & Recent Events

Emergency Powers & Overrides

2.0 Orange
Weight: 1 Range: 1-10

Emergency/extraordinary powers curtailing due process or expanding executive control.

Recent Events Affecting This Metric

No recent events affecting this metric.

Court & Checks Undermining

2.4 Orange
Weight: 1 Range: 1-10

Court-stripping, refusal to comply with rulings, or efforts to bypass judicial review.

Recent Events Affecting This Metric

No recent events affecting this metric.

Civil Service Purges

1.8 Yellow
Weight: 0.9 Range: 1-10

Loyalty tests/purges of career officials/election admins.

Recent Events Affecting This Metric

No recent events affecting this metric.

Speech/Press Restrictions

4.0 Red
Weight: 0.9 Range: 1-10

Viewpoint-targeted censorship or selective government takedown demands.

Recent Events Affecting This Metric

Example directive referencing content takedowns
+0.3 proposed

Illustrative item: a directive asks an agency to remove particular content categories.

2025-09-19 70% confidence

Political Violence Normalization

3.0 Red
Weight: 1 Range: 1-10

Incitement/defense of violence by public figures without consequences.

Recent Events Affecting This Metric

No recent events affecting this metric.

Minority Targeting in Law/Policy

3.4 Red
Weight: 1 Range: 1-10

Diminishing equal treatment for protected groups.

Recent Events Affecting This Metric

No recent events affecting this metric.

Marriage/Parent Recognition

3.2 Red
Weight: 1 Range: 1-10

Validity of same-sex marriage, parentage, adoption/surrogacy orders.

Recent Events Affecting This Metric

No recent events affecting this metric.

Healthcare Privacy Access

2.2 Orange
Weight: 0.8 Range: 1-10

Government access to medical records beyond due process.

Recent Events Affecting This Metric

No recent events affecting this metric.

Policing/Military for Civil Control

1.6 Yellow
Weight: 0.9 Range: 1-10

Guard/military deployments for domestic policing; mass detentions.

Recent Events Affecting This Metric

No recent events affecting this metric.

Financial/Platform Exclusion

1.4 Yellow
Weight: 0.7 Range: 1-10

Targeted freezes/denials of banking or platform services.

Recent Events Affecting This Metric

No recent events affecting this metric.

Recent Evidence

Chronological log of recent evidence entries affecting risk assessment.

Example directive referencing content takedowns

proposed

Illustrative item: a directive asks an agency to remove particular content categories.

Date: 2025-09-19 Impact: +0.3 Confidence: 70%