TippingPoint.Watch - Democratic Risk Dashboard

TippingPoint.Watch

Democratic Risk Dashboard

Last updated
9/27/2025

Current Risk Level

Based on 28 metrics across 10 categories

Democratic Risk

2.8
orange
Monitor situation - no immediate action required

Political Temperature

5
4
3
2
1
0.5
Cold
Very low tension, high unity
Objective Risk
2.9/5
213 sources
Temperature
0.5/5
1 sources
Combined Risk
1.8/5
Weighted average
Cumulative Damage
1.4/10
Evidence Items
214

Category Breakdown

Legal/Institutional

→ GREEN
0.9 1/4 metrics active
Active metrics: 1
Total metrics: 4
Coverage: 25%

Civic/Cultural

→ ORANGE
2.0 1/2 metrics active
Active metrics: 1
Total metrics: 2
Coverage: 50%

Personal Rights

↗️ ORANGE
2.2 1/2 metrics active
Active metrics: 1
Total metrics: 2
Coverage: 50%

Operational

→ YELLOW
1.1 2/4 metrics active
Active metrics: 2
Total metrics: 4
Coverage: 50%

Risk Timeline

Evidence Volume

9/25/2025
17 items
9/27/2025
72 items
9/27/2025
65 items
9/27/2025
65 items
9/27/2025
57 items
9/27/2025
0 items
9/27/2025
70 items

Average Risk Level

9/25/2025
5.0/5
9/27/2025
2.1/5
9/27/2025
0.0/5
9/27/2025
5.0/5
9/27/2025
5.0/5
9/27/2025
0.8/5
9/27/2025
2.8/5

Recent Evidence

Sorted by risk level • 173 total items
Immigration Policy 📊 Objective Risk Level: 5/5 Confidence: 90%

U.N. Human Rights Office Asks Ghana to Halt Deportations of Migrants Sent From U.S.

At least five migrants recently deported to Ghana from the United States had court-ordered protections meant to keep them from the possibility of being tortured if returned to their home countries.

9/27/2025 AI System
Read Source Article

What this evidence shows: Changes to immigration enforcement or border policies

Why it matters: Track enforcement actions and policy shifts that may affect immigrant communities

📊 Impact Across Categories (How this event affects democratic risk) ⚠ Simplified

Legal / Institutional
+5.0
-5 0 +5
Civic / Cultural
+3.0
-5 0 +5
Personal Rights
+2.0
-5 0 +5
Operational
+1.5
-5 0 +5
Overall Impact: +5.0/5 Confidence: 90%
Legal System 📊 Objective Risk Level: 4/5 Confidence: 90%

Supreme Court allows Trump officials to freeze billions in foreign aid

The Supreme Court allowed the Trump administration to freeze more than $4 billion in foreign aid.

9/27/2025 AI System
Read Source Article

What this evidence shows: Changes to judicial oversight or legal precedents

Why it matters: Track judicial appointments and rulings that may affect checks and balances

📊 Impact Across Categories (How this event affects democratic risk) ⚠ Simplified

Legal / Institutional
+4.0
-5 0 +5
Civic / Cultural
+2.4
-5 0 +5
Personal Rights
+1.6
-5 0 +5
Operational
+1.2
-5 0 +5
Overall Impact: +4.0/5 Confidence: 90%
Policy Monitoring 📊 Objective Risk Level: 4/5 Confidence: 90%

With Comey prosecution, Trump fulfills promise of revenge

President Donald Trump’s predecessors sought to preserve the Justice Department’s independence in political prosecutions. Trump openly intervened in the Comey prosecution.

9/27/2025 AI System
Read Source Article

What this evidence shows: General policy or administrative changes

Why it matters: Continue monitoring for potential democratic backsliding indicators

📊 Impact Across Categories (How this event affects democratic risk) ⚠ Simplified

Legal / Institutional
+4.0
-5 0 +5
Civic / Cultural
+2.4
-5 0 +5
Personal Rights
+1.6
-5 0 +5
Operational
+1.2
-5 0 +5
Overall Impact: +4.0/5 Confidence: 90%
Policy Monitoring 📊 Objective Risk Level: 4/5 Confidence: 90%

Years of clashes with Trump preceded Comey’s indictment

The federal grand jury’s indictment of the former FBI director, which Trump pushed for, marks the latest chapter in the tumultuous relationship between the two men.

9/27/2025 AI System
Read Source Article

What this evidence shows: General policy or administrative changes

Why it matters: Continue monitoring for potential democratic backsliding indicators

📊 Impact Across Categories (How this event affects democratic risk) ⚠ Simplified

Legal / Institutional
+4.0
-5 0 +5
Civic / Cultural
+2.4
-5 0 +5
Personal Rights
+1.6
-5 0 +5
Operational
+1.2
-5 0 +5
Overall Impact: +4.0/5 Confidence: 90%
Policy Monitoring 📊 Objective Risk Level: 4/5 Confidence: 90%

Brief Comey Indictment Prompts Questions and Criticism

The two-page indictment of James B. Comey, the former F.B.I. director, offered little indication of the evidence that would be presented at a trial. Some legal experts called it flimsy and dangerous.

9/27/2025 AI System
Read Source Article

What this evidence shows: General policy or administrative changes

Why it matters: Continue monitoring for potential democratic backsliding indicators

📊 Impact Across Categories (How this event affects democratic risk) ⚠ Simplified

Legal / Institutional
+4.0
-5 0 +5
Civic / Cultural
+2.4
-5 0 +5
Personal Rights
+1.6
-5 0 +5
Operational
+1.2
-5 0 +5
Overall Impact: +4.0/5 Confidence: 90%

Data sources: 28 metrics • Last updated: 9/27/2025, 12:00:00 AM

This dashboard tracks democratic risk indicators using transparent, source-linked metrics.