TippingPoint.Watch - Democratic Risk Dashboard

TippingPoint.Watch

Democratic Risk Dashboard

Last updated
9/26/2025

Current Risk Level

Based on 23 metrics across 9 categories

Democratic Risk

5.0
red
Continue preparation, monitor closely, but not yet obligated to commit

Political Temperature

5
4
3
2
1
2.5
Warm
Moderate tension, some division

High Risk Level Detected

Current risk level of 5.0/5 indicates significant democratic backsliding indicators. Consider reviewing evidence and monitoring closely.

Objective Risk
1.8/5
231 sources
Temperature
2.5/5
0 sources
Combined Risk
2.0/5
Weighted average
Cumulative Damage
1.3/10
Evidence Items
231

Category Breakdown

Legal/Institutional

→ YELLOW
1.1 1/4 metrics active
Active metrics: 1
Total metrics: 4
Coverage: 25%

Civic/Cultural

→ ORANGE
2.1 1/2 metrics active
Active metrics: 1
Total metrics: 2
Coverage: 50%

Personal Rights

↗️ ORANGE
2.3 1/2 metrics active
Active metrics: 1
Total metrics: 2
Coverage: 50%

Operational

→ GREEN
0.7 1/4 metrics active
Active metrics: 1
Total metrics: 4
Coverage: 25%

Risk Timeline

Evidence Volume

9/25/2025
17 items

Average Risk Level

9/25/2025
5.0/5

Recent Evidence

Sorted by risk level • 117 total items
Legal System Risk Level: 0.25/5 Confidence: 80%

Supreme Court issues ruling on Trump’s power to fire FTC commissioner without cause

The Supreme Court has weighed in on President Donald Trump’s power to fire the lone Democrat on the Federal Trade Commission without cause.

9/23/2025 expanded-automation
Read Source Article

What this evidence shows: Changes to judicial oversight or legal precedents

Why it matters: Track judicial appointments and rulings that may affect checks and balances

📊 Impact Across Categories (How this event affects democratic risk) ⚠ Simplified

Legal / Institutional
+0.3
-5 0 +5
Civic / Cultural
+0.1
-5 0 +5
Personal Rights
+0.1
-5 0 +5
Operational
+0.1
-5 0 +5
Overall Impact: +0.3/5 Confidence: 80%
Legal System Risk Level: 0.2/5 Confidence: 70%

Supreme Court Allows Trump to Fire F.T.C. Commissioner

The justices said they will consider whether to overrule a landmark Supreme Court precedent that has limited the president’s ability to fire top officials at the agency.

9/23/2025 expanded-automation
Read Source Article

What this evidence shows: Changes to judicial oversight or legal precedents

Why it matters: Track judicial appointments and rulings that may affect checks and balances

📊 Impact Across Categories (How this event affects democratic risk) ⚠ Simplified

Legal / Institutional
+0.2
-5 0 +5
Civic / Cultural
+0.1
-5 0 +5
Personal Rights
+0.1
-5 0 +5
Operational
+0.1
-5 0 +5
Overall Impact: +0.2/5 Confidence: 70%
Legal System Risk Level: 0.2/5 Confidence: 70%

Supreme Court allows Trump to fire Democratic member of trade commission

The justices overturned a lower-court injunction that reinstated Rebecca Slaughter to her job with the agency that oversees antitrust and consumer protection issues.

9/23/2025 expanded-automation
Read Source Article

What this evidence shows: Changes to judicial oversight or legal precedents

Why it matters: Track judicial appointments and rulings that may affect checks and balances

📊 Impact Across Categories (How this event affects democratic risk) ⚠ Simplified

Legal / Institutional
+0.2
-5 0 +5
Civic / Cultural
+0.1
-5 0 +5
Personal Rights
+0.1
-5 0 +5
Operational
+0.1
-5 0 +5
Overall Impact: +0.2/5 Confidence: 70%
Legal System Risk Level: 0.2/5 Confidence: 70%

Supreme Court dusts back administrative state in win for Trump, blow to Biden-appointed FTC commissioner

Supreme Court maintains Trump's termination of Democrat-appointed FTC Commissioner Rebecca Slaughter while setting December oral arguments for the case.

9/23/2025 expanded-automation
Read Source Article

What this evidence shows: Changes to judicial oversight or legal precedents

Why it matters: Track judicial appointments and rulings that may affect checks and balances

📊 Impact Across Categories (How this event affects democratic risk) ⚠ Simplified

Legal / Institutional
+0.2
-5 0 +5
Civic / Cultural
+0.1
-5 0 +5
Personal Rights
+0.1
-5 0 +5
Operational
+0.1
-5 0 +5
Overall Impact: +0.2/5 Confidence: 70%
Legal System Risk Level: 0.2/5 Confidence: 70%

Supreme Court lets Trump fire FTC commissioner for now and takes up dispute over removal

President Trump moved to fire Rebecca Kelly Slaughter from her position as a member of the Federal Trade Commission in March.

9/23/2025 expanded-automation
Read Source Article

What this evidence shows: Changes to judicial oversight or legal precedents

Why it matters: Track judicial appointments and rulings that may affect checks and balances

📊 Impact Across Categories (How this event affects democratic risk) ⚠ Simplified

Legal / Institutional
+0.2
-5 0 +5
Civic / Cultural
+0.1
-5 0 +5
Personal Rights
+0.1
-5 0 +5
Operational
+0.1
-5 0 +5
Overall Impact: +0.2/5 Confidence: 70%

Data sources: 23 metrics • Last updated: 9/26/2025, 12:00:00 AM

This dashboard tracks democratic risk indicators using transparent, source-linked metrics.